Sunday, November 29, 2015

Interesting new reset Preferred Shares (Class A, Series 7) Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners LP $BEP

Edit: Added details about distribution.

Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners L.P. is came out with a new rate reset preferred shares on November 25, 2015.  Ticker symbol: (BEP.PR.G).  This one is interested because it is the first I've seen with a minimum reset rate of 5.50%  I'm definitely interested, but looking at how 5 year preferreds have been going in general; it's still a tough choice whether I deploy capital into capturing the juicy initial rate with a guaranteed minimum rate at reset.

There may be an element of timing at this present time; as expectations are currently on for the US Fed to start increasing interest rates.  Maybe it is a fake out or maybe they will raise rates, but then by how much.

Taking a look.

*Current 5 year rate: 0.91% http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/Bond/TMBMKCA-05Y?countrycode=BX
*Current 90-day rate: 0.48% http://www.marketwatch.com/investing/Bond/TMBMBCA-03M?countrycode=BX

* Probably not so useful to look at rates at this point as we are 5 years out from the reset period.  Also, as it is a new issue there will be some volatility in pricing.

Conversion/Redemption Date: January 31, 2021
Period: Quarterly

Series 7
Initial yield @ par $25: 5.50%
Reset Benchmark: 5 year Government of Canada Bond Yield+
Reset Rate: 4.47%
Minimum Reset yield: 5.50%

Series 8 (Conversion)
Initial yield @ par $25: 5.50%
Reset Benchmark: 90-day Canadian Treasury Bill Yield+
Reset Rate: 4.47%
Minimum Reset yield: N/A

Distribution:
Keep in mind this does not pay out a dividend, but will be paying a distribution combing various income types.  Taxes will vary.

Prospectus, (S-10):
https://www.brookfieldrenewable.com/_Global/44/img/content/file/2015/Series%207%20Prospectus%20Supplement%20(2).pdf

https://www.brookfieldrenewable.com/content/2015/brookfield_renewable_to_issue_cdn125_million_of_p-43308.html

"HAMILTON, Bermuda, November 17, 2015 – Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners L.P. (TSX: BEP.UN; NYSE: BEP) (“Brookfield Renewable”) today announced that it has agreed to issue 5,000,000 Cumulative Minimum Rate Reset Class A Preferred Limited Partnership Units, Series 7 (the “Series 7 Preferred Units”) on a bought deal basis to a syndicate of underwriters led by TD Securities Inc., CIBC, RBC Capital Markets and Scotiabank for distribution to the public. The Series 7 Preferred Units will be issued at a price of $25.00 per unit, for gross proceeds of $125,000,000.
Holders of the Series 7 Preferred Units will be entitled to receive a cumulative quarterly fixed distribution yielding 5.50% annually for the initial period ending January 31, 2021. Thereafter, the distribution rate will be reset every five years at a rate equal to the greater of (i) the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield plus 4.47%, and (ii) 5.50%. The Series 7 Preferred Units are redeemable on or after January 31, 2021.
Holders of the Series 7 Preferred Units will have the right, at their option, to reclassify their Series 7 Preferred Units into Cumulative Floating Rate Reset Class A Preferred Limited Partnership Units, Series 8 (“Series 8 Preferred Units”), subject to certain conditions, on January 31, 2021 and on January 31 every 5 years thereafter. Holders of Series 8 Preferred Units will be entitled to receive a cumulative quarterly floating distribution at a rate equal to the 90-day Canadian Treasury Bill yield plus 4.47%.
Brookfield Renewable has granted the underwriters an option, exercisable until 48 hours prior to closing, to purchase up to an additional 2,000,000 Series 7 Preferred Units which, if exercised, would increase the gross offering size to $175,000,000.
The Series 7 Preferred Units will be offered in all provinces and territories of Canada by way of a supplement to Brookfield Renewable’s existing Canadian short form base shelf prospectus. The Series 7 Preferred Units may not be offered or sold in the United States or to U.S. persons absent registration or an applicable exemption from the registration requirements under the U.S. Securities Act.
Brookfield Renewable intends to use the net proceeds of the issue of Series 7 Preferred Units to repay indebtedness and for general corporate purposes. The offering of Series 7 Preferred Units is expected to close on or about November 25, 2015."

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Options Expiry Day: Premium is Mine! $X TMX Group +904.5662% (November 20, 2015)

I guess we should be grateful for the small wins.  Though lately I have been losing a lot more than I've been gaining.

Back in August 21, 2015 I picked up 100 shares of TMX Group (X) via Put option assignment .  Average price per share ended up $49.509, but the underlying stock was whipped down to $45.89; giving me an instant paper loss of $3.619/share.

Unexpectedly, back on October 8th the stock price continued recovering and closed up to $48.95. The following day October 9th it resumed its decline and I saw an opportunity as the premium for November 20th's Call expiry went gone up. (In retrospect, I probably should have sold X, but I don't mind holding this stock.) I took the opportunity to write a Call @ $1.10 with a net premium after commission of $0.9905.

Date Symbol Type Expiry Strike Quantity Price Gross Commission Net Price Net Amount Exposure Status Type Net Revenue % Gain/Loss
2015-10-09 X Call 11/20/15 50 1 $1.1000 $110.0000 $10.95 $0.9905 $99.05 $0.00 Expired Covered $99.05 904.5662%


I had gone on vacation not long after writing and returned before October 26. The price had declined to the $46's and I saw another opportunity. This time to write a Put to allow myself the potential to average down. The premium was juicy taking in average $1.1405.

The stock floated around the strike of $46 and by November 9 recovered upwards to $49, but again began to decline again. With less than 10 days to go until expiry, and the need to maintain reserves due to other investments, I decided to close out the position.  I still felt it would not likely go into the money and decline below $46 by Nov 20th.

In any case, this trade netted me a gain of $88.10, +77.2468%.

Calculation formula: (Net Sell Premium ($114.05) - Net Buy Back Premium ($25.95)) / Net Sell Premium ($114.05)
= 77.2468%

Date Symbol Type Expiry Strike Quantity Avg Share Price Gross Commission Net Return Net Amount Exposure Status Type Net Revenue % Gain/Loss
2015-10-26 X Put 11/20/15 46 1 $1.2500 $125.0000 $10.95 $1.1405 $114.05 $4,600.00 Closed Covered

2015-11-09 X Put 11/20/15 46 1 $0.1500 $15.0000 $10.95 $0.0405 $25.95 $4,600.00 Closed Covered $88.10 77.2468%


Option expiry was Friday November 20th and sure enough X closed at $46.69.
a) I was right that my previous Put would not have been assigned.

and

b) as I didn't mind whether X was sold or held, I didn't bother buying it back to close and could afford to wait for the expiry date.

Date Symbol Type Expiry Strike Quantity Price Gross Commission Net Price Net Amount Exposure Status Type Net Revenue % Gain/Loss
2015-10-09 X Call 11/20/15 50 1 $1.1000 $110.0000 $10.95 $0.9905 $99.05 $0.00 Expired Covered $99.05 904.5662%
A small gain, but I'll take it: $99.05, +904.5662%

Calculation:
Net Sell Premium ($99.05) / Commission ($10.95)
= 904.5662%

With the Call and Put Premiums collected $88.10 + $99.05 = $187.15 my gross break even price is now $ 49.509 - $1.8715 = $47.6375.  Now that I think about it, knowing my new break even; I have more flexibility to either sell the stock above that point or to write another Call at a lower strike price. In addition, a $0.40 dividend was declared, which will give me $40. All things being equal, bumping break even to $48.0375. This will require some more thinking and waiting for the next swing in prices.

Note: Questrade will have a Transaction entry to show the expiry, but it will not show until my next statement.  I do have an example of expiry for some $G Goldcorp Put options expired back on February 20, 2015.


Wednesday, November 18, 2015

Options: Descent into the Abyss. April 2015 Biogen (BIIB)

First, I was making good money with writing Put options. My friend jokingly challenged me to make making $10 a day ($3,650 CAD) and I accepted. Then I got greedy and was knocked down hard.

I can still remember going to a friend's birthday party and meeting her mom. This woman was a teacher and quit her job to trade full time. Her brother and another relative were also traders. Completely different from my friend who is absolutely not interested in the markets. I listened to what the mother was doing and was intrigued, but shocked as she told me about writing uncovered Puts on Biotech stocks for the last few years since 2009.  Keep in mind - it was during that conversation when Biotech sector was breaking down faster.  I was already successfully writing Puts on Canadian stocks; keeping the discipline by focusing on stocks that I would want to own and managing risk by maintaining levels of exposure to Put assignment.

Then about a week later Biogen (NYSE: BIIB) dropped significantly and I saw the extremely juicy Put premium.  The thought went through my mind "I can can do this, the stock will bounce up if I catch it now." I checked my available USD to confirm how much I could risk if I needed to buy back the Put and then I jumped in with a "conservative" toe dip.

It didn't take long to start losing money on the first moments after writing. It was a Friday, so the thought was "the market will calm down". I managed to hold on for another couple days after the weekend. Then almost 50% down.  I looked again at my reserves and saw I could afford to double down and hope for a recovery.  That definitely, did not happen as the stock continued to drop and I forced myself to get out before I blew through all my USD reserves.

Below is a table of my BIIB Puts:


Date Symbol Type Expiry Strike Quantity Avg Share Price Gross Commission Net Return Net Amount Exposure Net Revenue % Gain/Loss
2015-04-24 BIIB Put 05/29/15 380 1 $4.5800 $458.0000 $10.96 $4.4704 $447.04 $38,000.00

2015-04-28 BIIB Put 05/29/15 380 1 $11.8000 $1,180.0000 $10.98 $11.6902 $1,169.02 $38,000.00

Total BIIB Put 05/29/15 380 2 $8.1900 $1,638.0000 $21.94 $8.0803 $1,616.06 $76,000.00

2015-04-28 BIIB Put 05/29/15 380 2 $15.8000 $3,160.0000 $11.95 $15.7403 $3,171.95 $76,000.00 -$1,555.89 -96.2767%

April 24, Friday: Wrote 1 Put expiring May 29.  Premium: $4.58.
April 28, Tuesday: Wrote 1 Put expiring May 29.  Premium: $11.80.

Average Premium: $8.190

With 2 Puts with a Strike of $380 I had a total equity exposure of $76,000 minus the premium.  An amount that I do not have enough funds to cover and would definitely not be willing to risk.  However, in terms of the cost of Buying back the Puts, I had enough USD in reserve. As the day wore on BIIB declined further and I was forced to close out my position.

Loss: -$1,555.89 or -96.2767%

Ouch.  Definitely made someone's day there.

Lesson learnt, stick with the game plan.